Home AI SEO Research Conversion Metrics
Fokal Research

Your Traffic Is Down. Your Conversions Are Up. That's AI Search.

The old metrics said you were failing. The new metrics say you're winning. Here's how to tell the difference.

Patrick Gallagher

The Bottom Line

  • Clicks are a lagging indicator now. Users get answers from AI first. The click comes after they're already sold.
  • Citations are the new impressions. If you're not being cited, you're invisible—regardless of your rankings.
  • Fewer clicks, better buyers. AI traffic converts at higher rates. Quality is replacing quantity.
  • Your dashboard is lying to you. If you're only measuring clicks, you're measuring the wrong thing.

The Confusing Report

You're looking at your analytics. Traffic from search is down 15%. In the old world, this means you're losing. Time to panic. Time to call an SEO agency.

But then you check conversions. They're up. Revenue per visitor is up. Customer acquisition cost is down. What the hell is going on?

What's going on is AI search. And if you're measuring the old way, your dashboard is lying to you.

"The path to conversion no longer starts with a click."

— Bing Webmaster Blog, November 2025

That quote from Bing should change how you think about everything. The path to conversion no longer starts with a click. It starts with a citation in an AI response. The click—if it happens at all—comes later, after the user is already informed, already interested, already halfway to buying.

The Old Funnel Is Dead

Here's how search worked for 25 years: User searches. Sees 10 blue links. Clicks one. Lands on your page. Maybe converts.

Here's how AI search works: User asks a question. AI synthesizes an answer from multiple sources. User reads the answer. User is now informed. Maybe user clicks a citation to learn more.

Welcome to the era of zero-click searches. The industry has been talking about this phenomenon for years, but AI search makes it the default, not the exception. Most queries now resolve without a single click to any website.

See the difference? The click moved. It used to be the start of the journey. Now it's near the end.

What You Measured BeforeWhat You Should Measure Now
Impressions (how often you showed up)Citations (how often AI mentions you)
Click-through rateCitation-to-conversion rate
Traffic volumeRevenue per AI visitor
Rankings for keywordsPresence in AI answers

Why Fewer Clicks Is Actually Good News

This sounds counterintuitive, but Google's own people have been saying it:

"AI formats put people into a better state of contextual awareness—users understand better what they're getting into."

— Danny Sullivan, Google Search Off the Record

Translation: People who click through from AI search already know what you offer. They're not exploratory clickers. They're intentional visitors. They read about you in the AI response. They clicked because they're interested.

"People arriving from AI formats seem to be more engaged when they get there."

— Danny Sullivan

This is the trade-off: You get fewer visitors, but the visitors you get are better. They stay longer. They convert more. They're worth more.

If your business model depends on advertising revenue from page views, this is bad news. But if you actually sell something? Fewer, better-qualified visitors might be exactly what you want.

What You Should Actually Measure

Your old metrics still work, but they're not enough. Here's what to add:

Before They Click (Citation Metrics)

This is where visibility now happens. If you're not measuring this, you're blind.

MetricWhat It Tells You
Citation RateHow often AI mentions you when people ask about your category
Citation PositionAre you first, or buried at the bottom?
Citation ContextAre you described accurately? Positively?
Competitor CitationsWho shows up alongside you? Who's beating you?

After They Click (Quality Metrics)

AI traffic should behave differently. Measure whether it does.

MetricWhat to Expect from AI Traffic
Time on SiteShould be higher—they came with intent
Bounce RateShould be lower—they know what they're getting
Pages per SessionShould be higher—they're genuinely interested
Conversion RateShould be much higher—they're pre-qualified

What It's Worth (Revenue Metrics)

The real question: Is AI traffic more valuable, even if there's less of it?

MetricWhy It Matters
Revenue per AI VisitorIf this is higher than traditional search, you're winning
Customer LTV by SourceDo AI-acquired customers stick around longer?
CAC by SourceWhat's it actually costing you to acquire via AI?

How to Actually Do This

This isn't theoretical. Here's how to implement it:

  1. Identify AI traffic in your analytics. Look for referrers from chatgpt.com, perplexity.ai, claude.ai, etc. Google AI Overviews are harder—they'll show up as Google referrals. You'll need to segment by behavior patterns.
  2. Create a segment for AI traffic. Compare it against your traditional search traffic. Look at time on site, pages per session, bounce rate, and conversion rate. See if the pattern matches what we'd expect.
  3. Start monitoring citations. You need to know where AI is mentioning you—and where it isn't. This is the new visibility metric. Tools like Fokal can help.
  4. Update your attribution model. If AI is a touchpoint in your customer journey, you need to track it. Multi-touch attribution that ignores AI is now incomplete.

Citations Are the New Impressions

In the old world, impressions measured visibility. You appeared in search results; that was an impression. The user might click, might not—but at least they saw you.

In AI search, citations are that visibility moment. When AI mentions you while answering a question, that's your impression. The user might click through, might not—but they've heard about you.

"Prominently cites sources so users know exactly where the information came from."

— Bing, Copilot Search announcement, April 2025

Bing is emphasizing this because they know citations matter. If you're not being cited, you're not getting seen—regardless of your traditional rankings.

How Your Reports Should Change

The Old Report

  • "We ranked #1 for 500 keywords"
  • "We got 100,000 clicks from search"
  • "Our CTR improved 15%"

The New Report

  • "We're cited in AI answers for 500 queries"
  • "AI traffic converts at 3x our average"
  • "AI-sourced customers have 40% higher LTV"

The Short Version

Your traffic might be down. That's fine—if your conversions are up and your revenue per visitor is up.

Start measuring citations. Start segmenting AI traffic. Start looking at quality, not just quantity.

The companies that figure this out first will stop panicking every time their traffic dips. They'll know: fewer clicks, better customers, same revenue. That's not a crisis. That's efficiency.

Sources & Methodology

We only used official sources from the companies building these systems. No speculation or third-party analysis.

  • Bing Webmaster Blog: "How AI Search Is Changing the Way Conversions are Measured" (November 2025)
  • Bing Search Blog: "Introducing Copilot Search in Bing" (April 2025)
  • Google Search Off the Record Podcast: Danny Sullivan on engagement and conversion
Patrick Gallagher
Written by

Patrick Gallagher

Founder, Fokal

Patrick researches how AI systems discover, evaluate, and cite brands. He founded Fokal to help brands understand and optimize their visibility in AI search.

Track Your AI Search Visibility

See where your brand appears across ChatGPT, Perplexity, and Google AI Overviews.

Back to Research